Skip to content
Margin

AI data centers · Roll-ups

Who Is Actually Getting Rich From the $725 Billion AI Boom in 2026?

Published September 27, 2026

The short answer

  • $725 billion is what Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta combined will have spent on AI infrastructure by the end of 2026 — up 77% from the year before.
  • $68.1 billion in revenue in Nvidia's fiscal fourth quarter of 2026, with $62.3 billion from data-center chips alone (up 75% year over year) and almost $43 billion in net income in that single quarter.
  • Up to $100 billion committed by Nvidia toward OpenAI's data-center buildout, plus a separate guarantee worth another $105 billion for one campus in Ohio — money that partly returns to Nvidia as chip sales.
  • $27 billion is the size of the Meta–Blue Owl deal for a Louisiana data-center campus, the largest private-credit transaction ever recorded, with Meta owning only 20% and Blue Owl-managed funds 80%.
  • $23 billion in higher electricity costs for ordinary customers across a 14-state grid region was driven primarily by data-center demand.
  • $77 million in tax breaks went to JPMorgan Chase in Orangeburg, New York, in exchange for exactly one permanent job — the largest per-job subsidy tracked anywhere in the country.

By the end of 2026, four companies — Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta — will have spent about $725 billion combined chasing one bet: that artificial intelligence is worth building an entirely new layer of the world's infrastructure for. That is up 77% from the year before.

Somebody is getting extremely rich off that spending. It is very much not everybody.

Where is the $725 billion in AI spending actually going?#

The version everyone agrees on goes like this. Training and running today's AI models takes an enormous amount of computing power — specialised chips, made mostly by one company, Nvidia, packed into massive data centers that need almost as much electricity as a small city.

So the four companies that run the biggest AI products — Microsoft's Copilot, Google's Gemini, Amazon's cloud AI services and Meta's AI tools — are racing to build more of that capacity before their competitors do. They are spending on land, on buildings, on cooling systems, on power contracts, and overwhelmingly, on chips.

The bet is simple: whoever controls the most AI computing capacity today captures the most valuable AI customers tomorrow, and eventually charges enough for AI products to pay all of this back, with room to spare.

That is the textbook version. It is also, increasingly, not the whole story.

How much money is Nvidia making from the AI boom?#

Start with the most straightforward winner: the company selling the shovels.

Nvidia, fiscal Q4 2026Figure
Total revenue$68.1 billion (single-quarter record)
Data-center chip revenue$62.3 billion
Data-center growth year over year+75%
Net income, one quarteralmost $43 billion

Nvidia does not just sell the chips everyone needs — for most of this boom it has been close to the only company that can supply them at scale. That is a remarkable place to sit while four of the world's richest companies compete to spend more money than each other.

Jensen Huang, the man running Nvidia, has seen his own net worth climb toward $200 billion in 2026, tracking Nvidia's stock, which is up about a quarter this year alone as of early September.

When a chip becomes this scarce and this necessary, the company making it does not just profit from the AI boom. In a real sense, it sets the terms of the AI boom.

What is the circular financing loop between Nvidia, OpenAI, Oracle and CoreWeave?#

Nvidia's money does not only flow in one direction — and this is where it gets stranger.

FlowCommitment
Nvidia → OpenAI data-center buildoutup to $100 billion committed
Nvidia → single Ohio campusseparate guarantee worth $105 billion
Oracle → OpenAIroughly $300 billion of computing capacity over five years
Nvidia → CoreWeavedirect investment (no figure disclosed)

The Oracle deal helped push Oracle's founder, Larry Ellison, into the very top ranks of the world's richest people as the stock jumped on the news. CoreWeave, meanwhile, is a cloud company that turns around and buys — you guessed it — Nvidia chips, then resells that computing power to, among others, OpenAI.

Follow it closely enough and you get a loop: Nvidia funds companies that spend that money buying Nvidia's own product, whose sales then justify Nvidia's stock price, which funds the next round.

None of these are one-time cash payments — they are multi-year commitments and guarantees. But the investor Michael Burry, who famously bet against the housing market in 2008, has publicly flagged this kind of financing as a risk: the revenue looks real on the books, but if AI demand ever slows, several of these companies could stumble at the exact same time, for the exact same reason.

Who is financing data centers off Big Tech's balance sheet?#

There is a quieter money trail most people never hear about.

In late 2025, Meta needed to fund a single massive data-center campus in Louisiana. Instead of simply paying for it, it structured a $27 billion deal with a private-investment firm called Blue Owl — the largest private-credit transaction ever recorded.

PartyStake in the venture that owns the campus
Meta20%
Funds managed by Blue Owl80%

Major investors including PIMCO and BlackRock supplied much of the money. Meta gets to use the entire facility while keeping most of the cost off its own balance sheet, preserving its credit rating and its stock story. The investors get something that looks and pays like a bond, backed by a guarantee from one of the richest companies on earth.

It is a clever piece of financial engineering — and it means that if this specific data center becomes obsolete faster than expected, a meaningful chunk of that risk lands not on Mark Zuckerberg's balance sheet, but on the pension funds and insurance portfolios that bought in for a safe, steady return.

Who actually pays for the AI data center boom?#

Start with the electricity bill. The independent watchdog that monitors the mid-Atlantic and Midwest power grid — a region covering 14 states — found that data-center demand was a primary driver behind $23 billion in higher electricity costs for ordinary customers, with price increases expected to keep landing on bills through at least the end of this decade. Most of those customers do not have a single data center anywhere near their house.

Then there is the tax-break side. In Orangeburg, New York, JPMorgan Chase secured roughly $77 million in tax breaks to expand a local data center — in exchange for creating exactly one permanent job, by far the largest per-job subsidy tracked anywhere in the country.

Which data center tax breaks failed to deliver the jobs they promised?#

Orangeburg is not an isolated case, and this is the part of the story the spending headlines skip: the deals that did not deliver what they promised.

In Texas, state auditors reviewed 20 data-center projects that had promised to keep at least 20 to 40 permanent jobs in exchange for tax breaks.

Texas auditFigure
Data-center projects reviewed20
Projects that failed to meet even the minimum job bar6
Jobs promised per projectat least 20 to 40 permanent
Projected cost of the state's data-center tax exemption$3.3 billion in just two years

The buildings get built either way. The bill, one way or another, tends to land on people who never got a vote on any of it.

Is the AI boom a bubble?#

Which raises the obvious question: is this whole thing built on real demand, or is it a very expensive bet that has not been tested yet?

Analysts are genuinely split. Some call the bear case "garbage," pointing to Nvidia's actual, delivered revenue as proof the demand is real. Others, watching the same numbers by September 2026, were openly describing this as a late-stage AI bubble, drawing uncomfortable comparisons to 1999.

Nobody knows which side is right — that is what makes it a genuine bet, not a sure thing. But the structure of the financing matters here: when the money flows in a circle, and the risk gets pushed onto investors who signed up for something safe, the people at the centre of the loop can look enormously successful for a long time before anyone finds out whether the underlying demand was ever really there.

What does the AI boom mean for your own finances?#

None of this means AI itself is fake, or that nobody should invest in it. It means that "the AI boom is making people rich" and "the AI boom is good for the average person's finances" are two completely different claims.

Right now, the money is flowing much more reliably toward chip makers, cloud landlords and private-credit investors than toward the towns hosting the buildings or the households paying the power bill.

The next time a headline tells you how many billions a company is spending on AI, the better question is not how much. It is: who exactly gets that money — and who is going to be handed the bill once it is spent.

Questions people actually ask

How much are Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta spending on AI in 2026?

By the end of 2026 the four companies will have spent about $725 billion combined on AI infrastructure. That is up 77% from the year before. The spending covers land, buildings, cooling systems, power contracts and, overwhelmingly, chips.

How much did Nvidia make in its fiscal fourth quarter of 2026?

Nvidia reported $68.1 billion in revenue, a single-quarter record, with $62.3 billion of that coming from data-center chips alone, up 75% from a year earlier. Net income for that one quarter was almost $43 billion.

What is circular financing in the AI boom?

Nvidia has committed up to $100 billion toward OpenAI's data-center buildout plus a separate $105 billion guarantee for a single Ohio campus, and has invested directly in CoreWeave, which buys Nvidia chips and resells the computing power. The result is a loop in which Nvidia funds companies that spend that money on Nvidia's own product. Michael Burry, who bet against the housing market in 2008, has publicly flagged this kind of financing as a risk.

Why did Meta use private credit to build its Louisiana data center?

In late 2025 Meta structured a $27 billion deal with Blue Owl, the largest private-credit transaction ever recorded. Meta owns only 20% of the venture that owns the campus while Blue Owl-managed funds own 80%, with investors such as PIMCO and BlackRock supplying much of the money. Meta uses the whole facility while keeping most of the cost off its balance sheet.

Are data centers raising electricity bills?

The independent watchdog monitoring the mid-Atlantic and Midwest power grid, a region covering 14 states, found data-center demand was a primary driver behind $23 billion in higher electricity costs for ordinary customers. Those increases are expected to keep landing on bills through at least the end of this decade, including for customers with no data center anywhere near them.

Do data center tax breaks actually create jobs?

In Orangeburg, New York, JPMorgan Chase secured roughly $77 million in tax breaks in exchange for exactly one permanent job, the largest per-job subsidy tracked anywhere in the country. In Texas, auditors reviewed 20 data-center projects that had promised at least 20 to 40 permanent jobs and found six failed to meet even that bar, while the state's data-center tax exemption alone is projected to cost $3.3 billion in just two years.

Is the AI boom a bubble?

Analysts are genuinely split. Some call the bear case garbage, pointing to Nvidia's actual delivered revenue as proof demand is real, while others by September 2026 were describing a late-stage AI bubble and drawing comparisons to 1999. Nobody knows which side is right, which is what makes it a genuine bet rather than a sure thing.

Margin is independent and ad-free. If this breakdown was useful — Buy me a coffee

Sources

All figures and dates are from public reporting.

  1. ·NVIDIA — Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026
  2. ·Tom's Hardware — Big Tech's AI Spending Plans Reach $725 Billion
  3. ·Forbes — Jensen Huang's Net Worth Nears $200 Billion
  4. ·Vantage Markets — Nvidia's $105B OpenAI Bet: AI Financing Bubble Explained
  5. ·Global Data Center Hub — Meta + Blue Owl's $27B Bet
  6. ·Fortune — Data Centers Have Already Hiked Electricity Bills on the Public by $23 Billion
  7. ·NY Focus — This Data Center Is Getting a $77 Million Tax Break to Create One Job
  8. ·Good Jobs First — Texas Data Center Tax Break Compliance Failures
  9. ·CNBC — Wall Street Firm Believes the AI Stock Market Boom Is "Nearing an End"

Nothing here is investment advice. Figures are ranges drawn from public reporting and will vary by market and operator.

Full transcriptEverything said in the video · 1,396 wordsShow

By the end of 2026, four companies — Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta — will have spent about seven hundred twenty-five billion dollars combined chasing one bet: that artificial intelligence is worth building an entire new layer of the world's infrastructure for. That's up seventy-seven percent from the year before. One chip company just posted a single quarter's profit of nearly forty-three billion dollars because of it. One person's personal fortune is closing in on two hundred billion dollars because of it. And in a small town outside New York City, a company got a seventy-seven million dollar tax break to create exactly one permanent job. Somebody is getting extremely rich off the AI boom. It is very much not everybody. This is where the seven hundred twenty-five billion dollars is actually going — and who's quietly stuck holding the bill.

Here's the version everyone agrees on. Training and running today's AI models takes an enormous amount of computing power — specialized chips, made mostly by one company, Nvidia, packed into massive data centers that need almost as much electricity as a small city. So the four companies that run the biggest AI products — Microsoft's Copilot, Google's Gemini, Amazon's cloud AI services, and Meta's AI tools — are all racing to build more of that computing capacity before their competitors do. They're spending on land, on buildings, on cooling systems, on power contracts, and overwhelmingly, on chips. The bet is simple: whoever controls the most AI computing capacity today captures the most valuable AI customers tomorrow, and eventually charges enough for AI products to pay all of this back, with room to spare. That's the textbook version. It's also, increasingly, not the whole story.

Start with the most straightforward winner: the company selling the shovels. In its fiscal fourth quarter of 2026, Nvidia reported sixty-eight point one billion dollars in revenue — a single-quarter record — with sixty-two point three billion of that from data-center chips alone, up seventy-five percent from a year earlier. Net income for that one quarter: almost forty-three billion dollars. Nvidia doesn't just sell the chips everyone needs — for most of this boom, it's been close to the only company that can supply them at scale, which is a remarkable place to sit while four of the world's richest companies compete to spend more money than each other. The man running Nvidia, Jensen Huang, has seen his own net worth climb toward two hundred billion dollars in 2026, tracking Nvidia's stock, which is up about a quarter this year alone as of early September. When a chip becomes this scarce and this necessary, the company making it doesn't just profit from the AI boom. In a real sense, it sets the terms of the AI boom.

But Nvidia's money doesn't just flow in one direction — and this is where it gets stranger. Nvidia has committed up to one hundred billion dollars toward OpenAI's data-center buildout, plus a separate guarantee worth another hundred five billion for a single campus in Ohio. Oracle has signed on to sell OpenAI roughly three hundred billion dollars of computing capacity over five years — a deal that helped push Oracle's founder, Larry Ellison, into the very top ranks of the world's richest people as the stock jumped on the news. Nvidia has also invested directly in CoreWeave, a cloud company that turns around and buys — you guessed it — Nvidia chips, then resells that computing power to, among others, OpenAI. Follow it closely enough and you get a loop: Nvidia funds companies that spend that money buying Nvidia's own product, whose sales then justify Nvidia's stock price, which funds the next round. None of these are one-time cash payments — they're multi-year commitments and guarantees — but the investor Michael Burry, who famously bet against the housing market in 2008, has publicly flagged this kind of financing as a risk: the revenue looks real on the books, but if AI demand ever slows down, several of these companies could stumble at the exact same time, for the exact same reason.

Then there's a quieter money trail that most viewers never hear about. In late 2025, Meta needed to fund a single massive data-center campus in Louisiana — and instead of simply paying for it, it structured a twenty-seven billion dollar deal with a private-investment firm called Blue Owl, the largest private-credit transaction ever recorded. Under the deal, Meta actually owns only twenty percent of the venture that owns the campus; funds managed by Blue Owl own the other eighty percent, with major investors like PIMCO and BlackRock supplying much of the money. Meta gets to use the entire facility while keeping most of the cost off its own balance sheet, preserving its credit rating and its stock story. The investors get something that looks and pays like a bond, backed by a guarantee from one of the richest companies on earth. It's a clever piece of financial engineering — and it means that if this specific data center becomes obsolete faster than expected, a meaningful chunk of that risk lands not on Mark Zuckerberg's balance sheet, but on the pension funds and insurance portfolios that bought in for a safe, steady return.

So that's who's profiting. Here's who's quietly paying for it — and it's usually not who you'd guess. Start with your electricity bill. The independent watchdog that monitors the mid-Atlantic and Midwest power grid — a region covering fourteen states — found that data-center demand was a primary driver behind twenty-three billion dollars in higher electricity costs for ordinary customers, price increases expected to keep landing on bills through at least the end of this decade. Most of those customers don't have a single data center anywhere near their house. Then there's the tax-break side. In Orangeburg, New York, JPMorgan Chase secured roughly seventy-seven million dollars in tax breaks to expand a local data center — in exchange for creating exactly one permanent job, by far the largest per-job subsidy tracked anywhere in the country. It's not an isolated case. In Texas, state auditors reviewed twenty data-center projects that had promised to keep at least twenty to forty permanent jobs in exchange for tax breaks. Six of them failed to meet even that bar — while Texas's data-center tax exemption alone is projected to cost the state three point three billion dollars in just two years. The buildings get built either way. The bill, one way or another, tends to land on people who never got a vote on any of it.

Which raises the obvious question: is this whole thing built on real demand, or is it a very expensive bet that hasn't been tested yet? Analysts are genuinely split. Some call the bear case 'garbage,' pointing to Nvidia's actual, delivered revenue as proof the demand is real. Others, watching the same numbers by September 2026, were openly describing this as a late-stage AI bubble, drawing uncomfortable comparisons to 1999. Nobody knows which side is right — that's what makes it a genuine bet, not a sure thing. But the structure of the financing matters here: when the money flows in a circle, and the risk gets pushed onto investors who signed up for something safe, the people at the center of the loop can look enormously successful for a long time before anyone finds out whether the underlying demand was ever really there.

None of this means AI itself is fake, or that nobody should invest in it. It means that 'the AI boom is making people rich' and 'the AI boom is good for the average person's finances' are two completely different claims — and right now, the money is flowing much more reliably toward chip makers, cloud landlords, and private-credit investors than toward the towns hosting the buildings or the households paying the power bill. The next time a headline tells you how many billions a company is spending on AI, the better question isn't how much. It's: who exactly gets that money — and who's going to be handed the bill once it's spent.

Next time on Margin: a company everyone trusted — and the one decision at the very top that brought it all down. If you want to understand how money actually moves before the headlines catch up, subscribe — and follow the money.

Keep following the money